Bitcoin analysts look to November as price action looks to mirror past cycles

The recent months of Bitcoin's price action have displayed a striking resemblance to the patterns observed in the previous two BTC market cycles. In these earlier cycles, there was a notable turning point in November, and this shift in momentum typically led up to a significant event known as the halving.

Bitcoin analysts look to November as price action looks to mirror past cycles

Bitcoin's price, represented by the ticker BTC, has been experiencing a period of sideways movement, with the current price at $34,441. Market observers suggest that this sideways trend may transition into a bullish phase as early as November, similar to patterns seen in previous Bitcoin market cycles leading up to a halving event.

Crypto analyst Miles Deutscher pointed out that the recent price action for Bitcoin resembles the patterns observed in previous cycles, describing it as typical sideways price action that occurs in the second to fourth quarters of pre-halving years. He noted that historically, November 21 has been a key pivot point for Bitcoin's price to start trending upward as it approaches the next halving event.

For instance, in 2015, after about six months of sideways trading, BTC's price started to rise around November. Similarly, in 2019, the markets remained relatively flat for most of the year before experiencing significant price growth towards the end of the year.

Another self-proclaimed crypto trader and technical analyst, "Mags," made a similar observation, highlighting that BTC's price is currently around 60% below its all-time high, which is consistent with the price behavior in 2015 and 2019.

Galaxy Trading also suggested that a similar cycle could lead to a Bitcoin "dump" or a price bottom around November 10-15.

The next Bitcoin halving event is expected to occur around six months from the time of this analysis, which would place it in late April or early May. It's worth noting that the Bitcoin halving is a significant event that reduces the rate at which new Bitcoins are created and has historically been associated with price increases.

While some analysts, like Markus Thielen, the head of research at Matrixport, believe that Bitcoin's price may surge going into 2024 due to macroeconomic factors, the majority of experts and observers tend to agree that the next major bull market is likely to follow the Bitcoin halving.

It's important to remember that the cryptocurrency market is highly speculative and subject to rapid changes, so these observations should be taken as part of a broader analysis of Bitcoin's price trends.